Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.029656 0.031951 0.034353 0.037055 0.040014 0.043162 0.046767
2025-02-16 0.025801 0.029043 0.032614 0.036855 0.041771 0.047311 0.054057
2025-02-23 0.023135 0.026900 0.031213 0.036547 0.043007 0.050625 0.060362
2025-03-02 0.021294 0.025414 0.030285 0.036515 0.044337 0.053922 0.066691
2025-03-09 0.019600 0.023902 0.029123 0.035991 0.044882 0.056139 0.071683
2025-03-16 0.018114 0.022502 0.027949 0.035289 0.045052 0.057774 0.075915
2025-03-23 0.016997 0.021472 0.027139 0.034950 0.045600 0.059858 0.080812
2025-03-30 0.016030 0.020558 0.026402 0.034621 0.046087 0.061825 0.085619
2025-04-06 0.015043 0.019553 0.025469 0.033943 0.046008 0.062949 0.089231
2025-04-13 0.014535 0.019152 0.025313 0.034305 0.047384 0.066188 0.096168
2025-04-20 0.013946 0.018605 0.024916 0.034286 0.048184 0.068604 0.101997
2025-04-27 0.013549 0.018297 0.024828 0.034690 0.049606 0.072013 0.109611
2025-05-04 0.012936 0.017661 0.024247 0.034347 0.049896 0.073725 0.114666
2025-05-11 0.012425 0.017144 0.023812 0.034190 0.050450 0.075871 0.120597
2025-05-18 0.011919 0.016610 0.023320 0.033914 0.050789 0.077675 0.126065
2025-05-25 0.011519 0.016211 0.023006 0.033886 0.051506 0.080121 0.132823
2025-06-01 0.011027 0.015653 0.022426 0.033407 0.051453 0.081266 0.137325
2025-06-08 0.010526 0.015061 0.021767 0.032765 0.051087 0.081841 0.140804
2025-06-15 0.010141 0.014628 0.021331 0.032455 0.051251 0.083324 0.146081
2025-06-22 0.009781 0.014219 0.020914 0.032153 0.051405 0.084787 0.151417
2025-06-29 0.009368 0.013713 0.020323 0.031532 0.050967 0.085153 0.154615
2025-07-06 0.009196 0.013574 0.020305 0.031864 0.052207 0.088633 0.164318
2025-07-13 0.008956 0.013317 0.020089 0.031847 0.052820 0.090985 0.171909